WEBVTT FILE 1 00:00:01.042 --> 00:00:03.211 Other things have changed too - we’ve chopped 2 00:00:03.211 --> 00:00:04.671 down tropical forests, 3 00:00:04.671 --> 00:00:06.047 caused the ozone hole, and 4 00:00:06.047 --> 00:00:06.965 filled the air with soot, smog and 5 00:00:06.965 --> 00:00:10.218 other kinds of air pollution. 6 00:00:10.218 --> 00:00:12.012 And this is on top of natural variations 7 00:00:12.012 --> 00:00:14.597 caused by the dynamics of the oceans, or volcanoes, 8 00:00:14.597 --> 00:00:16.808 or variations in the Sun’s activity. 9 00:00:16.808 --> 00:00:17.809 And so we can ask whether 10 00:00:17.809 --> 00:00:19.728 it’s human activities warming our planet. 11 00:00:20.228 --> 00:00:21.479 At NASA, we have some big and 12 00:00:21.479 --> 00:00:23.273 powerful computers, 13 00:00:23.273 --> 00:00:26.568 able to make 6.8 trillion calculations per second. 14 00:00:26.985 --> 00:00:28.695 We put these huge supercomputers 15 00:00:28.695 --> 00:00:30.363 to work to recreate Earth’s climate. 16 00:00:30.947 --> 00:00:32.782 So, we have thousands of ideas of 17 00:00:32.782 --> 00:00:35.035 what could naturally cause climate change. 18 00:00:35.035 --> 00:00:37.746 We have 4 billion years of history where nearly 19 00:00:37.746 --> 00:00:39.122 anything and everything 20 00:00:39.122 --> 00:00:41.666 you could imagine has impacted Earth's climate! 21 00:00:42.459 --> 00:00:43.752 But each of those events have 22 00:00:43.752 --> 00:00:45.837 their own distinct fingerprint which we can 23 00:00:45.837 --> 00:00:49.007 identify a pattern of behavior with natural variability. 24 00:00:49.507 --> 00:00:53.011 Using supercomputers, we can run simulations of natural climate drivers, 25 00:00:53.386 --> 00:00:57.140 solar energy changes, wobbles in Earth’s orbits, ocean turnover, 26 00:00:57.140 --> 00:00:58.099 volcanic eruptions.... 27 00:00:58.725 --> 00:01:00.727 And we can run simulations of human effects. 28 00:01:01.102 --> 00:01:02.854 And what we've seen is... 29 00:01:02.854 --> 00:01:05.315 It's us. There's no way around it. 30 00:01:05.315 --> 00:01:09.694 Looking at the evidence, we're the force that's enacting these changes. 31 00:01:10.403 --> 00:01:14.199 I am so proud of our ability to understand 32 00:01:14.199 --> 00:01:17.118 the climate, but I'm terrified of what we found.